cynic_devine wrote:Assuming that True D20 Forums passes BR post count then you would be right in saying that the forums is more popular.
Statistically speaking, the single True 20 forum will surpass
all the Blue Rose forums in 5.35 months.
True 20
Forum post count: 2565
Forum threads: 218
Average posts per thread: 11.77
Forum creation date: April 2005 (7 months)
Average posts per month: 366.43
Average threads per month: 31.14
Blue Rose (all forums)
Forum post count: 3206
Forum threads: 387
Average posts per thread: 8.28
Forum creation date: October 2004 (13 months)
Average posts per month: 246.62
Average threads per month: 29.77
On average, True 20 has 119.81 more posts per month. The Blue Rose forums have a lead of 641 posts at the moment this data was gathered. Like I said, it will take 5.35 months for the True 20 forum to surpass the Blue Rose forums.
All these statistics can (obviously) be altered by external factors, like the upcoming releases of True 20's print version and a Blue Rose sourcebook. However, I'm very much inclined to think that sales of True 20's core rules will be greater than a Blue Rose sourcebook and, therefore, will mean a bigger increase of post activity in True 20's forum.
Now, let's play a little game, just because I'm bored at work. We'll measure the Blue Rose forums' activity only between April 2005 (included) and today:
Blue Rose forums since April 2005 (included)
Forum post count: 1906
Forum threads: 205
Average posts per thread: 9.30
Average posts per month: 272.29
Average threads per month: 29.29
Note that I've taken into consideration all threads that have some post acitivity during April or later, so threads started earlier also count. This means that forum activity is even lower.
In any case, here's my analysis:
* BR's threads per month have remained roughly unchanged (a 1.6% dip, or -0.48 threads per month).
* BR's average posts per month have gone up (10.4% increase, or +25.67 posts per month).
* BR's average posts per month have gone up (12.3% increase, or +1.02 posts per thread).
* True 20's forum has had far more posts than all the Blue Rose forums in the past 7 months (2565 vs. 1906, or +659 posts, or +34.6%).
* True 20's forum has had slightly more threads than all the Blue Rose forums in the past 7 months (218 vs. 205, or +13 threads, or +6.3%).
* True 20's forum has had more posts per thread on average (11.77 vs. 9.30, or +2.47, or +26.6%).
* True 20's forum has had more posts per month on average (366.43 vs. 272.29, or +94.14, or +34.6%)
* True 20's forum has had slightly more threads per month on average (31.14 vs. 29.29, or +1.85, or +6.3%)
Conclusion: True 20's forum has more activity than all the Blue Rose forums.
My country is the world, and my religion is to do good.
--Thomas Paine